A.P Heat! - All Posts by Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
To the readers and followers of APHeat, you are no doubt wondering about this new look. About a year ago I set a retirement date of late 2017 - that's right, retirement. It's an odd word because my post-retirement schedule is already jammed full. As part of my retirement planning, I wanted to find a great company to continue to host my blog.
About a year ago, 888casino contacted me to write some articles about advantage play for their blog. During my review of their site, I quickly saw their dedication to first-rate gambling content. As a result, I approached them about taking over as host of my blog. I was very excited when they agreed. Over the last few months we have worked hard to migrate the full content, and now my blog is live in its new home. And, I have to say, it looks fantastic.
I am sure that under 888casino, the posts on APHeat will reach a far broader audience. Getting this information out to players and gaming professionals has always been my goal. As a lifelong educator, I have always felt that knowledge serves the greatest good in the public domain. As one of my professors used to say, you can't copyright a theorem. Truth belongs to everyone.
Until I retire, I intend to continue figuring out how to beat casino table games, side bets and promotions, and I will be posting new articles here. I have not been put out to pasture, yet. Stay tuned.
BACCARAT
- 3 Baccarat Strategies that You Don't Want to Try
- Baccarat Angst
- Baccarat Card Counting Flimflam
- Baccarat Card Counting: Update #1
- Baccarat Combinatorial Analysis the Easy Way
- Baccarat: The Known Card
- Baccarat Tie Bet Flimflam
- Beating Baccarat
- Beating the Baccarat Tie Bet
- Card Counting 2-to-1 Baccarat
- Card Counting 7 Up Baccarat
- Card Counting Commission Free Baccarat Variations
- Card Counting in Baccarat
- Computer-Perfect Play against the Baccarat Tie Bet
- Computer-Perfect Play against Baccarat
- Edge Sorting in Baccarat
- Edge Sorting in Baccarat, Update #1
- Exploiting Loss Rebates in Baccarat
- First Carding the Dragon Bonus Baccarat Side Bet
- Known-Card Play against the Knockout Baccarat Side Bet
- Optimal Play against Baccarat Rolling Chip Programs
- Risk Analysis of Baccarat NN Programs: Confidence Intervals
- Risk Analysis of Baccarat NN Programs: z-Score
- Shoe-Shopping Baccarat
- The Future of Baccarat Advantage Play
- The World’s Greatest Baccarat Betting System
- The World’s Greatest Baccarat Player
BACCARAT SIDE BETS
- A Baccarat Side Bet with a 10.32% Off-the-Top Player Edge
- A Favorable Side Bet in Nevada Baccarat, by Thorp and Walden
- Beating the Lucky Pairs Baccarat Side Bet
- Beating the Lucky Pairs Baccarat Side Bet: Update #1
- Beating the Lucky Pairs Baccarat Side Bet: Update #2
- Card Counting Baccarat Insurance: Natural 9
- Card Counting the Colour Match Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Dragon Bonus Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Dragon Side Bet in EZ Baccarat
- Card Counting the Dragon/Fortune 7 Side Bet
- Card Counting the Easy Six Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Lucky 8 Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Lucky Nines Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Lucky Win Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Natural 9 and Natural 8 Baccarat Side Bets
- Card Counting the Rabbit Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Super Pay Egalite Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Tie Max Baccarat Side Bets
- Card Counting the Tiger Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the Tiger 7, Ox 6 and Kill the Ox/Tiger Baccarat Side Bets
- Card Counting the Total Shot Bonus Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting the UR Way Egalite Baccarat Side Bet
- Card Counting Zoo Baccarat (ZooBac)
- Cheating the Lucky Pairs Baccarat Side Bet
- Co-Card Counting the Dragon and Panda Side Bets in EZ Baccarat
- Computer-Perfect Play against the Baccarat Pairs Bet
- Dragon 7 and Panda 8 Known Card Play at Baccarat
- EZ Baccarat Dragon and Panda Side Bets: Response to an E-mail
- Safeguarding Baccarat Side Bets
- Shoe-Shopping the Dragon Bonus Baccarat Side Bet
- The Desirability Index of Baccarat Side Bets
- The Dragon 7 and the Naturals Count
BLACKJACK
- Blackjack: An Ace or Ten in the Hand
- Blackjack Card Counting vs. Blackjack Side Bets: Six Decks
- Blackjack Card Counting vs. Blackjack Side Bets: Two Decks
- Blackjack Combinatorial Analysis by Simulation
- Blackjack Promotions and “Hold”
- Card Counting Blackjack Variants
- Don Johnson #2: How He Beat Blackjack
- Getting Lucky at Blackjack
- Hole-Carding Blackjack Shoe Games
- Insurance Pays 2.2-to-1
- Let Blackjack Card Counters Play
- My Single-Deck Blackjack Skilled-Cutter Fantasy
- Splitting for Less in Blackjack
- The Effect of Cut Card Placement on Blackjack Profit
- The Effect of a Riffle on Table Game Profit
- The Not-So-Illustrious 18
- The Win-Rate of the Average Blackjack Card Counter
- The World’s Greatest Blackjack Card Counter: FAQ
BLACKJACK SIDE BETS
- An Introduction to Blackjack Side Bets
- Beating the 21+3 Blackjack Side Bet
- Beating the 21+3 Blackjack Side Bet: Some Really Cool Graphs
- Beating the 21+3 Blackjack Side Bet, Update #1
- Beating the Pair Square (Bet the Set) Blackjack Side Bet
- Beating the Royal Match Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting Blackjack Insurance
- Card Counting the 18 Bet Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the 19 Bet Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the 20 Pays Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Bust It Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Buster Blackjack Side Bet, 2 Decks
- Card Counting the Buster Blackjack Side Bet, 6 Decks
- Card Counting the Dealer Bust 21 Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Deuces Wild Blackjack Side Bet, 6 Decks
- Card Counting the Field Gold 21 Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Golden 21 Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the High Tie Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the In Between Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the King’s Bounty Blackjack Side Bet, 6 Decks
- Card Counting the Lucky Ladies Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Lucky Lucky Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Lucky Lucky Side Bet: Update #1
- Card Counting the Match the Dealer Side Bet in Spanish 21
- Card Counting the Over/Under 13 Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Over/Under 13 Blackjack Side Bet, Update #1
- Card Counting the Red Flex Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Royal 20′s Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Shortie Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Slingo Bonus Bet 21 Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Super Sevens Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Upcard Luck Blackjack Side Bet
- Card Counting the Wild Aces Blackjack Side Bet
- Discovering the Lucky Lucky Blackjack Side Bet
- Fear, Loathing and Blackjack Side Bets
- Lucky Ladies: 10 Years Later
- Lucky Ladies and the Insurance Count
- Perfect Play against the 21+3 Extreme Blackjack Side Bet
- The Slingo Bonus Bet 21 Challenge
NOVELTY GAMES
- Card Counting the Bonus Side Bet in Over/Under
- Card Counting Over/Under
- Caribbean Stud Collusion
- Comments on Ultimate Texas Hold’Em Hole-Card Play
- Crazy 4 Poker Goof
- Crazy 4 Poker Hole-Card Play
- Criss Cross Poker Hole-Card Play
- Double Draw Poker Collusion
- Edge Sorting Casino War
- Edge Sorting Three Card Poker
- Flop Poker Hole-Card Play
- Four Card Poker Bad Beat Bonus: Faulty Math
- Four Card Poker Hole-Card Play
- Heads-Up Hold’em Basic Strategy and House Edge
- Heads-Up Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card
- Heads-Up Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card and One Flop Card
- High Card Flush Collusion
- Hole-Carding Pai Gow Poker
- Hole-Carding Three Card Poker: Random Walks & ROR
- Let it Ride Hole-Card Play
- Mississippi Stud, Beating
- Mississippi Stud, Cheating
- Mississippi Stud Collusion
- Mississippi Stud Poker Hole-Card Play
- Mississippi Stud Poker Hole-Card Play: Update #1
- More Ways to Beat Mississippi Stud
- One for the Money Hole-Card Play
- Racing Card Derby: A Cautionary Study
- Racing Card Derby: The Known Card
- Raise It Up Stud Hole-Card Play
- Seven Reasons to NEVER Count Cards
- Texas Hold’em Bonus Poker Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card
- Texas Hold’em Bonus Poker Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card and One Community Card
- Texas Hold’em Bonus Poker Hole-Card Play: Two Dealer Cards
- Three Card Poker and the Ace Shuffler Hole-Carding Bias
- Three Card Poker Hole-Card Play
- Three Card Poker Hole-Card Play: Update #1
- Top Carding Caribbean Stud
- Top Carding Three Card Poker
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em: Basic Strategy and Beyond
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em Basic Strategy and House Edge
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em Collusion
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em Goof
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card and One Flop Card
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card and One Turn/River Card
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: Two Dealer Cards
- Ultimate Texas Hold’em: The Known Card
- Ultimate Three Card Poker Hole-Card Play
EDGE SORTING
- A Few Historical References to Edge Sorting
- Baccarat: The Known Card
- Edge Sorting, 101
- Edge Sorting Caribbean Stud
- Edge Sorting Casino War
- Edge Sorting Harrah’s Cards
- Edge Sorting in Baccarat
- Edge Sorting in Baccarat, Update #1
- Edge Sorting Let it Ride
- Edge Sorting Mississippi Stud
- Edge Sorting Mississippi Stud, Update #1
- Edge Sorting: The Most Dangerous Card
- Edge Sorting: The Safest Card
- Edge Sorting Three Card Poker
- Survey of Sortable Cards
- VIDEO: An Introduction to Edge Sorting
- VIDEO: A Survey of Edge-Sortable Cards
- VIDEO: Edge Sorting Demonstration Video
- What is Edge Sorting?
PROMOTIONS, COUPONS, REBATES AND DISCOUNTS
- A Baccarat Promotion Designed for Advantage Players
- APs on Beating Promotions
- Beating Loss Rebate Programs: The Biggest Advantage Play
- Beating Video Poker
- Blackjack (un)Happy Hour
- Car-A-Day Giveaway
- Don Johnson #1: The Master Speaks
- Don Johnson #2: How He Beat Blackjack
- Don Johnson #3: Could He Have Won More?
- Don Johnson: How He Did It
- Exploiting Loss Rebates in Craps
- Exploiting Loss Rebates on Single Zero Roulette
- Exploiting Loss Rebates on Double Zero Roulette
- Fact-Checking an Article on Donald Johnson in CHANCE Magazine
- Four Ways to Beat Video Poker
- Loss Rebate Theorem Excel Spread Sheet
- Loss Rebate Theorem Spreadsheet with Risk of Ruin
- Revel 100% Loss Rebate Promotion
- Revel Casino Loss Rebate Promotion Update
- The Challenges of Match Play
- The Loss Rebate Theorem
- The Mathematics of Non-Negotiable Chip Programs
- The Second Loss Rebate Theorem
- The Third Loss Rebate Theorem
SURVEYS
COMMENTARIES
- Beating the House: From Affleck to Ivey
- Do Not Pass Go, Do Not Collect $1075
- Escaping the Expensive Legacy of Edward Thorp
- If the IRS Gets Its Way, Players Should Revolt
- I’m at a Loss about Loss Rebates
- Is Your Shuffle Procedure All Mixed Up?
- Phil Ivey and Yellow Journalism
- Phil Ivey’s Appeal and Small Measures
- Response to “Casinos are the ‘Enemy'”
- The “Atlantic City 14” and the Future of Advantage Play
- The Use of Deadly Force at South Point Casino
- What’s Skill Got To Do With It
- Why Advantage Players Play
OTHER POSTS
- “21 News” – A Free Newsletter from 1990
- A Plea for Surveillance
- Advantage Play Against Slots
- Advantage Play in California Card Rooms
- Advantage Play in California Card Rooms, Update #1
- Advantage Play in California Card Rooms, Update #2
- An Introduction to Advanced Advantage Play
- Approved Final Judgment: Ivey vs. Crockfords
- AUDIO: CEM Audio Edge: July 19, 2013
- AUDIO: Gambling With An Edge: March 1, 2012
- AUDIO: Gambling With An Edge: December 6, 2012
- AUDIO: Podcast at Bluff.com about Phil Ivey, April 17, 2014
- AUDIO: Podcast from the Gambler’s General Store: April 28, 2015
- AUDIO: House of Cards Radio, June 14, 2014
- AUDIO: House of Cards Radio, October 14, 2014
- AUDIO: House of Cards Radio, July 22, 2015
- AUDIO: House of Cards Radio, February 01, 2016
- Card Counting, 101
- Card Counting Analysis 101
- Card Counting Everything
- Card Counting Proprietary Games
- Collusion, 101
- Conspicuously Absent: Pai Gow Poker
- Dealing in an iDEAL World
- Eight Common Mathematical Misunderstandings
- Fear, Loathing and Blackjack Side Bets
- Galaxy Gaming and Game Protection
- Hole-Carding, 101
- Introduction to Gaming Mathematics
- James Grosjean
- Little Ace of Horrors
- Married to the Blackjack Tables
- My “Backrooming” Experience
- Phil Ivey and Yellow Journalism
- Protecting Proprietary Games
- Richard Munchkin Says …
- Simulations, Combinatorial Analysis and Biscuits
- Summary of Baccarat Side Bets
- Summary of Blackjack Side Bets: 2 Decks
- The “Best Game” at Raving’s Cutting Edge Table Games Conference
- The Cause of Suffering is Desire (DI > 50)
- The Importance of Procedure
- The Not-So-Ideal iDEAL Shuffler
- The Problem of Protecting Proprietary Games
- The Top 5 Ways to Win More and Lose Less
- The Top Five Advantage Plays in 2014
- Top 10 Funniest Table Game Icons
- VIDEO: A Brief Tutorial on Combinatorial Analysis
- VIDEO: Join the Strip Club!
- VIDEO: Proprietary Casino Table Games and Side Bets
- VIDEO: Shuffle Procedure Demonstration Video
- Why Advantage Players Play